Login (DCU Staff Only)
Login (DCU Staff Only)

DORAS | DCU Research Repository

Explore open access research and scholarly works from DCU

Advanced Search

Winds of change: Democratic transitions and long-term democratic support

Olar, Roman-Gabriel and Neundorf, Anja (2024) Winds of change: Democratic transitions and long-term democratic support. Democratization . ISSN 1743-890X

Abstract
Do democratic transitions affect citizens’ subsequent support for democracy? We propose that the type of democratic transition (citizen-centered vs elite-centered) shapes citizens’ support for democracy through the investment created by citizen participation in the transition and the expectations this generates about the future under democracy. We test our hypotheses using democratic transitions data from Geddes et al. (2014) and harmonized survey data of citizens’ support for democracy from nearly 500,000 respondents in 78 established and new democracies over the period 1946-2015. Our results show a consistent negative effect of elite-centered transitions on support for democracy, while the effects of citizen-centered transitions are less robust and much more context-dependent. Using an augmented difference-in-difference estimation we can underpin these findings by isolating the causal effect of transitions. Our results indicate the political socialization effect and long-lasting impact of major political events on individuals’ democratic attitudes.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Democratization, transitions, public opinion, political learning
Subjects:Social Sciences > Political science
Social Sciences > Public administration
DCU Faculties and Centres:UNSPECIFIED
Publisher:Routledge/Taylor & Francis
Official URL:https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/fdem20
ID Code:30360
Deposited On:04 Oct 2024 14:30 by Vidatum Academic . Last Modified 04 Oct 2024 14:30
Documents

Full text available as:

[thumbnail of OlarandNeundorf_Democratization.pdf] PDF - Archive staff only. This file is embargoed until 10 February 2026 - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0
1MB
Downloads

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year

Archive Staff Only: edit this record