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The Diplomacy of Uncertainty: Exploring the Protean Power of Aspirant States

Visoka, Gëzim orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-8725-3067 and Brajshori, Muhamet (2025) The Diplomacy of Uncertainty: Exploring the Protean Power of Aspirant States. Foreign Policy Analysis, 21 (4). ISSN 1743-8594

Abstract
This article examines how aspirant states with limited international recognition secure membership in international organisations. While soft and control power is a suitable framework to explore the foreign policy conduct of recognised states, in this article, we argue that aspirant states facing significant barriers to full recognition and membership in international organisations can leverage protean power, which involves adaptability, strategic innovation, and improvisation, to navigate complex political landscapes and achieve varying degrees of success in their pursuit of international legitimacy. We use Kosovo's diplomatic efforts as a case study, examining its successes and failures in joining organisations such as the World Customs Organization, the Permanent Court of Arbitration, and UNESCO. By comparing successful, partially successful, and unsuccessful cases, the article provides critical insights into the dynamics of international legitimacy, the politicisation of multilateral decision-making, and the evolving norms of state membership in a fragmented international order.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Soft power, protean power, aspirant states, membership, multilateralism, recognition
Subjects:Social Sciences > International relations
Social Sciences > Political science
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Humanities and Social Science
DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Humanities and Social Science > School of Law and Government
Publisher:Oxford University Press
Official URL:https://academic.oup.com/fpa/article/21/4/oraf033/...
Copyright Information:Authors
ID Code:31633
Deposited On:13 Oct 2025 13:04 by Gëzim Visoka . Last Modified 13 Oct 2025 13:04
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