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Exploring the determinants of domestic air travel across Africa

Tolcha, Tassew Dufera, Njoya, Eric orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-1799-9469 and Christidis, Panoyatis (2026) Exploring the determinants of domestic air travel across Africa. Journal of Air Transport Management, 131 . ISSN 1873-2089

Abstract
This study examines the determinants of domestic air travel demand within African countries, a region underrepresented in existing literature, which has predominantly focused on international routes or domestic travel in other continents. Using a gravity model, the study provides a comprehensive analysis that incorporates socio-economic variables and service-related factors. The findings indicate that domestic air travel demand is significantly influenced by socio-economic factors; specifically, larger educated populations and higher GDP per capita are positively associated with travel demand. The effect of government ownership of airlines on passenger demand is inconclusive: state ownership positively influences demand in Algeria, Ethiopia, and Morocco, but has a negative impact in Kenya, South Africa, and Nigeria. Service-related aspects also play a crucial role: higher flight frequencies, lower airfares, the presence of low-cost carriers (LCCs), and better connectivity positively influence domestic travel demand. These findings vary across countries, reflecting the diverse economic and infrastructural landscapes of Africa. The study highlights the importance of economic and infrastructural development in boosting domestic air travel across the continent. It suggests that policies aimed at supporting LCCs, enhancing airport connectivity, and promoting economic growth could effectively stimulate domestic air travel.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Domestic air travel; Travel demand; Africa; Gravity model
Subjects:Business > Commerce
Business > Marketing
Business > Innovation
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:Elsevier Ltd
Official URL:https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/...
Copyright Information:Authors
ID Code:32588
Deposited On:08 May 2026 10:46 by Eric Njoya . Last Modified 08 May 2026 10:46
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