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Predicting short-term mobile Internet traffic from Internet activity using recurrent neural networks

Santos, Guto Leoni orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-0257-4214, Rosati, Pierangelo orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-6070-0426, Lynn, Theo orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-9284-7580, Kelner, Judith, Sadok, Djamel and Endo, Patricia Takako orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-9163-5583 (2022) Predicting short-term mobile Internet traffic from Internet activity using recurrent neural networks. International Journal of Network Management, 32 (3). ISSN 1055-7148

Abstract
Mobile network traffic prediction is an important input into network capacity planning and optimization. Existing approaches may lack the speed and computational complexity to account for bursting, non-linear patterns, or other important correlations in time series mobile network data. We compare the performance of two deep learning (DL) architectures, long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU), and two conventional machine learning (ML) architectures—Random Forest and Decision Tree—for predicting mobile Internet traffic using 2 months of Telecom Italia data for Milan. K-Means clustering was used a priori to group cells based on Internet activity, and the Grid Search method was used to identify the best configurations for each model. The predictive quality of the models was evaluated using root mean squared error and mean absolute error. Both DL algorithms were effective in modeling Internet activity and seasonality, both within days and across 2 months. We find variations in performance across clusters within the city. Overall, the DL models outperformed the conventional ML models, and the LSTM outperformed the GRU in our experiments.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Deep Learning, Mobile Networking, Network Management, Network Optimization, Internet Traffic Prediction, LSTM, GRU
Subjects:Computer Science > Artificial intelligence
Computer Science > Machine learning
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:John Wiley & Sons
Official URL:https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/n...
Copyright Information:Authors
ID Code:32825
Deposited On:01 Jul 2026 10:26 by Tam Nguyen . Last Modified 01 Jul 2026 10:26
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