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Predicting knee osteoarthritis severity: comparative modeling based on patient's data and plain X-ray images

Abedin, Jaynal, Antony, Joseph orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-6493-7829, McGuinness, Kevin orcid logoORCID: 0000-0003-1336-6477, Moran, Kieran orcid logoORCID: 0000-0003-2015-8967, O'Connor, Noel E. orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-4033-9135, Rebholz-Schuhmann, Dietrich and Newell, John (2019) Predicting knee osteoarthritis severity: comparative modeling based on patient's data and plain X-ray images. Nature Scientific Reports, 9 (5761). pp. 1-12. ISSN 2045-2322

Abstract
Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is a disease that impairs knee function and causes pain. A radiologist reviews knee X-ray images and grades the severity level of the impairments according to the Kellgren and Lawrence grading scheme; a five-point ordinal scale (0-4). In this study, we used Elastic Net (EN) and Random Forests (RF) to build predictive models using patient assessment data (i.e. signs and symptoms of both knees and medication use) and a convolution neural network (CNN) trained using X-ray images only. Linear mixed effect models (LMM) were used to model the within subject correlation between the two knees. The root mean squared error for the CNN, EN, and RF models was 0.77, 0.97 and 0.94 respectively. The LMM shows similar overall prediction accuracy as the EN regression but correctly accounted for the hierarchical structure of the data resulting in more reliable inference. Useful explanatory variables were identified that could be used for patient monitoring before X-ray imaging. Our analyses suggest that the models trained for predicting the KOA severity levels achieve comparable results when modeling X-ray images and patient data. The subjectivity in the KL grade is still a primary concern.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Subjects:UNSPECIFIED
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Engineering and Computing > School of Computing
DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Engineering and Computing > School of Electronic Engineering
DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Science and Health > School of Health and Human Performance
Publisher:Nature Publishing Group
Official URL:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-42215-9
Copyright Information:© 2019 The Authors
Use License:This item is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License. View License
Funders:Science Foundation Ireland (SFI) under Grant Number SFI/12/RC/2289, co-funded by the European Regional Development Fund., OAI is a public-private partnership comprised of five contracts (N01-AR-2-2258; N01-AR-2-2259; N01-AR-2- 2260; N01-AR-2-2261; N01-AR-2-2262) funded by the National Institutes of Health, Merck Research Laboratories; Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, GlaxoSmithKline; and Pfizer, Inc.managed by the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health.
ID Code:23135
Deposited On:08 Apr 2019 15:58 by Joseph Antony . Last Modified 05 Jan 2022 17:01
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