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The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences

Romano, Alessandro orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-2041-5487, Sotis, Chiara orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-9367-0932, Dominioni, Goran orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-3795-2617 and Guidi, Sebastián (2020) The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences. Health Economics . pp. 1-13. ISSN 1057-9230

Abstract
Mass media routinely present data on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) diffusion with graphs that use either a log scale or a linear scale. We show that the choice of the scale adopted on these graphs has important consequences on how people understand and react to the information conveyed. In partic- ular, we find that when we show the number of COVID‐19 related deaths on a logarithmic scale, people have a less accurate understanding of how the pandemic has developed, make less accurate predictions on its evolution, and have different policy preferences than when they are exposed to a linear scale. Consequently, merely changing the scale the data is presented on can alter public policy preferences and the level of worry about the pandemic, despite the fact that people are routinely exposed to COVID‐19 related information. Providing the public with information in ways they understand better can help improving the response to COVID‐19, thus, mass media and policymakers communicating to the general public should always describe the evolution of the pandemic using a graph on a linear scale, at least as a default option. Our results suggest that framing matters when communicating to the public.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:COVID‐19; framing; media; public understanding
Subjects:Medical Sciences > Health
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Humanities and Social Science > School of Law and Government
Publisher:John Wiley
Official URL:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hec.4143
Copyright Information:© 2020 The Authors. Open Access (CC-BY-4.0)
ID Code:25467
Deposited On:09 Feb 2021 15:27 by Thomas Murtagh . Last Modified 11 Feb 2021 14:41
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