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Delegating strategic decision-making to machines: Dr. Strangelove redux?

Johnson, James orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-5203-8583 (2020) Delegating strategic decision-making to machines: Dr. Strangelove redux? Journal of Strategic Studies, 45 (3). pp. 439-477. ISSN 0140-2390

Abstract
Will the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in strategic decision-making be stabilizing or destabilizing? What are the risks and trade-offs of pre-delegating military force (or automating escalation) to machines? How might non-nuclear state and non-state actors leverage AI to put pressure on nuclear states? This article analyzes the impact of strategic stability of the use of AI in the strategic decision-making process, in particular, the risks and trade-offs of pre-delegating military force (or automating escalation) to machines. It argues that AI-enabled decision support tools, by substituting the role of human critical thinking, empathy, creativity, and intuition in the strategic decision-making process, will be fundamentally destabilizing if defense planners come to view AI’s ‘support’ function as a panacea for the cognitive fallibilities and human analysis and decision-making. The article also considers the nefarious use of AI-enhanced fake news, deepfakes, bots, and other forms of social media by non-state actors and state proxy actors, which might cause states to exaggerate a threat from ambiguous or manipulated information, increasing instability.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:U.S.-China relations; nuclear security; deterrence policy; emerging technology; strategic stability
Subjects:Computer Science > Artificial intelligence
Computer Science > Machine learning
Social Sciences > International relations
Social Sciences > Political science
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Humanities and Social Science > School of Law and Government
Publisher:Taylor & Francis
Official URL:https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2020.1759038
Copyright Information:© 2020 Taylor & Francis
Use License:This item is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License. View License
ID Code:25508
Deposited On:19 Feb 2021 11:58 by James Johnson . Last Modified 06 May 2022 12:24
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