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Co-movements and spillovers of oil and renewable firms under extreme conditions: new evidence from negative WTI prices during COVID-19

Corbet, Shaen orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-7430-7417, Goodell, John W. and Günay, Samet (2020) Co-movements and spillovers of oil and renewable firms under extreme conditions: new evidence from negative WTI prices during COVID-19. Energy Economics, 54 . ISSN 0140-9883

Abstract
We test for the existence of volatility spillovers and co-movements among energy-focused corporations during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, inclusive of the April 2020 events where West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil future prices became negative. Employing the spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz [2012]; as well as developing a DCC-FIGARCH conditional correlation framework and using estimated spillover indices built on a generalised vector autoregressive framework in which forecast-error variance decompositions are invariant to the variable ordering, we examine the sectoral transmission mechanisms of volatility shocks and contagion throughout the energy sector. Among several results, we find positive and economically meaningful spillovers from falling oil prices to both renewable energy and coal markets. However, this result is only found for the narrow portion of our sample surrounding the negative WTI event. We interpret our results being directly attributed to a sharp drop in global oil, gas and coal demand, rather than because of a sudden increase in oil supply. While investors observed the US fracking industry losing market share to coal, they also viewed renewables as a more reliable mechanism to generate long-term, stable and low-cost supply.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Oil prices; Oil and gas corporations; Volatility spillovers; Volatility co-movement; Market linkage; Financial crisis; Contagion
Subjects:Business > Finance
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:Elsevier
Official URL:https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104978
Copyright Information:© 2020 Elsevier. CC BY-NC-ND
Use License:This item is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License. View License
ID Code:25990
Deposited On:10 Jun 2021 11:14 by Thomas Murtagh . Last Modified 08 Oct 2022 03:30
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