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Attention! Transformer with sentiment on cryptocurrencies price prerediction

Zhao, Huali, Crane, Martin orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-7598-3126 and Bezbradica, Marija orcid logoORCID: 0000-0001-9366-5113 (2022) Attention! Transformer with sentiment on cryptocurrencies price prerediction. In: 7th International Conference on Complexity, Future Information Systems and Risk (COMPLEXIS 2022), 23-24 April 2022, Online. ISBN 978-989-758-565-4

Abstract
Cryptocurrencies have won a lot of attention as an investment tool in recent years. Specific research has been done on cryptocurrencies’ price prediction while the prices surge up. Classic models and recurrent neural networks are applied for the time series forecast. However, there remains limited research on how the Transformer works on forecasting cryptocurrencies price data. This paper investigated the forecasting capability of the Transformer model on Bitcoin (BTC) price data and Ethereum (ETH) price data which are time series with high fluctuation. Long short term memory model (LSTM) is employed for performance comparison. The result shows that LSTM performs better than Transformer both on BTC and ETH price prediction. Furthermore, in this paper, we also investigated if sentiment analysis can help improve the model’s performance in forecasting future prices. Twitter data and Valence Aware Dictionary and sEntiment Reasoner (VADER) is used for getting sentiment scores. The result shows that the sentiment analysis improves the Transformer model’s performance on BTC price but not ETH price. For the LSTM model, the sentiment analysis does not help with prediction results. Finally, this paper also shows that transfer learning can help on improving the Transformer’s prediction ability on ETH price data.
Metadata
Item Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Event Type:Conference
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Transformer; Attention; Sentiment analysis; Cryptocurrency prediction
Subjects:Computer Science > Artificial intelligence
Computer Science > Computer engineering
Computer Science > Machine learning
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Engineering and Computing > School of Computing
Published in: Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Complexity, Future Information Systems and Risk. . SciTePress. ISBN 978-989-758-565-4
Publisher:SciTePress
Official URL:https://doi.org/10.5220/0011103400003197
Copyright Information:© 2022 The Authors (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
Use License:This item is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License. View License
ID Code:27010
Deposited On:14 Apr 2022 16:27 by Huali Zhao . Last Modified 16 Nov 2023 13:43
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