Esposito, Francesco and Cummins, Mark (2025) Appraising Model Complexity in Option Pricing. The Journal of Futures Markets, 45 . pp. 455-472. ISSN 1096-9934
Abstract
The research question we consider is whether incremental complexity in option pricing models is justified by incremental model performance. We apply the model confidence set as a formal model comparison approach in appraising stochastic volatility jump‐diffusion option pricing models, spanning affine and nonaffine specifications. Jumps in price with stochastic (constant) arrival intensity produce superior (inferior) outcomes. A parsimonious negative exponential price jump distribution
outperforms the popular normal distribution. Jumps in volatility synchronized or not) worsen model performance. A parsimonious nonlinear hyperbolic drift extension of the Heston model performs particularly well. Nonlinear CEV models generally
do not produce appreciable model performance.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article (Published) |
---|---|
Refereed: | Yes |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Affine and nonaffine jump‐diffusion model specifications; model complexity; model confidence set; option pricing models; stochastic volatility |
Subjects: | Business > Commerce Business > Economic policy Business > Finance |
DCU Faculties and Centres: | DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School |
Publisher: | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. |
Official URL: | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/fut.22... |
Copyright Information: | Authors |
ID Code: | 31024 |
Deposited On: | 02 May 2025 10:12 by Gordon Kennedy . Last Modified 02 May 2025 10:12 |
Documents
Full text available as:
Preview |
PDF
- Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 783kB |
Metrics
Altmetric Badge
Dimensions Badge
Downloads
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
Archive Staff Only: edit this record