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Direct Evidence of Bitcoin Wash Trading

Aloosh, Arash and Li, Jiasun (2024) Direct Evidence of Bitcoin Wash Trading. Management Science, 70 (12). pp. 8875-8921.

Abstract
We use the internal trading records of a major Bitcoin exchange leaked by hackers to detect and characterize wash trading—a type of market manipulation in which a single trader clears the trader’s own limit orders to “cook” transaction records. Our finding provides direct evidence for the widely suspected “fake volume” allegation against cryptocurrency exchanges, which has so far only been backed by indirect estimation. We then use our direct evidence to evaluate various indirect techniques for detecting the presence of wash trades and find measures based on Benford’s law, trade size clustering, lognormal distributions, and structural breaks to be useful, whereas ones based on power law tail distributions to give opposite conclusions. We also provide suggestions to effectively apply various indirect estimation techniques.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:bitcoin; cryptocurrency; exchanges; forensics; market manipulation; regulation
Subjects:Business > Finance
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:SSRN
Official URL:https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1287/mns...
Copyright Information:Authors
ID Code:32898
Deposited On:03 Jul 2026 13:34 by Tam Nguyen . Last Modified 03 Jul 2026 13:34
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