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Assessing the poverty impact of the COVID-19-induced tourism crisis in Tanzania: a social accounting matrix microsimulation analysis

Njoya Tchouamou, Eric orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-1799-9469 (2023) Assessing the poverty impact of the COVID-19-induced tourism crisis in Tanzania: a social accounting matrix microsimulation analysis. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 31 (3). pp. 801-820. ISSN 1747-7646

Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disruptions to international tourism and has stimulated research interest. This study examines links between COVID-19-induced tourism disruption and poverty in Tanzania. Unlike previous studies linking COVID-19, tourism and poverty, this paper uses a social accounting matrix (SAM) microsimulation analysis that allows decomposition of poverty indices by population subgroup and assessment of the drivers of aggregate poverty. The results of the SAM multiplier analysis indicate that all households will experience reduced incomes, and that this effect will be more pronounced in urban than rural households. The microsimulation results suggest that the COVID-19-induced tourism crisis will exacerbate the poverty headcount, poverty gap and poverty severity, with urban and rural non-farm households being most affected. The results of the poverty decomposition show that the growth effect has a stronger impact than the inequality effect on increased poverty. Poverty increases and inequality decreases simultaneously. The paper suggests several demand- and supply-side policies that may help to build tourism resilience and recovery and alleviate poverty in Tanzania in the post-COVID world.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Tourism in Tanzania; tourism and poverty; COVID-19 pandemic; microsimulation; FGT poverty indices; poverty decomposition
Subjects:Social Sciences > Social psychology
Social Sciences > Tourism
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:Taylor & Francis
Official URL:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09669...
Copyright Information:Author
ID Code:33027
Deposited On:23 Jul 2026 12:54 by Tam Nguyen . Last Modified 23 Jul 2026 12:54
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