Gupta, Rohit, Rathore, Bhawana, Srivastava, Abhishek and Biswas, Baidyanath ORCID: 0000-0002-0609-3530 (2022) Decision-making framework for identifying regions vulnerable to transmission of COVID-19 pandemic. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 169 . ISSN 0360-8352
Abstract
Abstract
At the beginning of 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) identified an unusual coronavirus
and declared the associated COVID-19 disease as a global pandemic. We proposed a novel hybrid
fuzzy decision-making framework to identify and analyze these transmission factors and conduct
proactive decision-making in this context. We identified thirty factors from the extant literature and
classified them into six major clusters (climate, hygiene and safety, responsiveness to decision-making,
social and demographic, economic, and psychological) with the help of domain experts. We chose the
most relevant twenty-five factors using the Fuzzy Delphi Method (FDM) screening from the initial
thirty. We computed the weights of those clusters and their constituting factors and ranked them based
on their criticality, applying the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP). We found that the top five
factors were global travel, delay in travel restriction, close contact, social cohesiveness, and
asymptomatic. To evaluate our framework, we chose ten different geographically located cities and
analyzed their exposure to COVID-19 pandemic by ranking them based on their vulnerability of
transmission using Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity To Ideal Solution
(FTOPSIS). Our study contributes to the discipline of decision analytics and healthcare risk
management during a pandemic through these novel findings. Policymakers and healthcare officials
can also benefit from our study by formulating and improving existing preventive measures to mitigate
future global pandemics. Finally, we performed a sequence of sensitivity analyses to check for the
robustness and generalizability of our proposed hybrid decision-making framework.
Keywords: COVID-19; Epidemic transmission; Fuzzy Decision framework; Fuzzy Delphi;
Metadata
Item Type: | Article (Published) |
---|---|
Refereed: | Yes |
Additional Information: | Article number: 108207 |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | COVID-19; Epidemic transmission; Fuzzy Decision framework; Fuzzy Delphi; Fuzzy A.H.P.; Fuzzy TOPSIS |
Subjects: | Business > Economic policy Business > Management Medical Sciences > Epidemiology |
DCU Faculties and Centres: | DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Official URL: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2022.108207 |
Copyright Information: | © 2022 Elsevier. |
ID Code: | 27379 |
Deposited On: | 22 Jul 2022 13:40 by Baidyanath Biswas . Last Modified 08 Mar 2023 10:36 |
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