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Weathering the storm: developing a user-centric weather forecast and warning system for Ireland

Brown, Gavin D. orcid logoORCID: 0000-0003-2555-4192, Largey, Ann, McMullan, Caroline orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-4229-5690, Reilly, Niamh orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-2499-6717 and Sahdev, Muskan (2023) Weathering the storm: developing a user-centric weather forecast and warning system for Ireland. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 91 . ISSN 2212-4209

Abstract
This paper appraises current usage and future weather service needs in Ireland. The data for this study were collected using a household preparedness questionnaire and focus groups with urban communities, rural dwellers, and marine users, farmers, students, and an island community. The questionnaire was used to collect data on weather warnings and preparedness following a category red severe weather warning. Data on participants’ need for weather forecasts and warnings, current and future weather service requirements, and the effectiveness of the National Meteorological and Hydrological Service (NMHS) were collected from the focus groups. Our analysis identifies the importance of accurate weather forecasts to the public and groups such as farmers as they plan their professional and private lives. Participants were aware of the weather warning system's color-coded structure, with the highest-level warnings considered most effective in capturing attention. Most participants spoke negatively about category yellow warnings, as they perceived them to be issued too frequently. Experience of warnings being issued and threats failing to materialize caused a minority of participants to ignore warnings and not take preparedness action. The professionalism of the NMHS was praised by focus group participants, and there was a high level of overall satisfaction with the quality of the national weather warning system (75.1% of survey participants were mostly or extremely satisfied). Opportunities to improve weather services included enhanced communication with service users, improved web and app interfaces, a move to probabilistic forecasting, and weather warnings that encompass calls to action.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Additional Information:Article number: 103687
Uncontrolled Keywords:Weather warnings; Weather forecasts; Protective action; Public confidence; Severe weather
Subjects:Business > Management
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:Elsevier
Official URL:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103687
Copyright Information:© 2023 The Authors.
Funders:Irish Research Council, Met Éireann [COALESCE/2020/32].
ID Code:28295
Deposited On:28 Apr 2023 11:43 by Gavin Brown . Last Modified 28 Apr 2023 11:43
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