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Stationary Covariance Regime for Affine Stochastic Covariance Models in Hilbert Spaces

Friesen, Martin and Karbach, Sven (2024) Stationary Covariance Regime for Affine Stochastic Covariance Models in Hilbert Spaces. Finance and Stochastics, 28 . pp. 1077-1116. ISSN 1432-1122

Abstract
This paper introduces stochastic covariance models in Hilbert spaces with stationary affine instantaneous covariance processes. We explore the applications of these models in the context of forward curve dynamics within fixed-income and commodity markets. The affine instantaneous covariance process is defined on positive selfadjoint Hilbert–Schmidt operators, and we prove the existence of a unique limit distribution for subcritical affine processes, provide convergence rates of the transition kernels in the Wasserstein distance of order p ∈ [1, 2], and give explicit formulas for the first two moments of the limit distribution. Our results allow us to introduce affine stochastic covariance models in the stationary covariance regime and to investigate the behaviour of the implied forward volatility for large forward dates in commodity forward markets.
Metadata
Item Type:Article (Published)
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Affine processes; Invariant measure; Stationarity; Ergodicity; Stochastic covariance; Implied forward volatility; Generalised Feller semigroups
Subjects:Mathematics
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Science and Health
DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Science and Health > School of Mathematical Sciences
Publisher:Springer
Official URL:https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00780-0...
Copyright Information:Authors
ID Code:31163
Deposited On:01 Jul 2025 10:50 by Vidatum Academic . Last Modified 01 Jul 2025 10:50
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