Belak, Christoph, Christensen, Sören and Menkens, Olaf (2016) Worst-case portfolio optimization in a market with bubbles. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 19 (2). p. 1650009. ISSN 1793-6322
Abstract
We investigate a utility maximization problem in the presence of asset price bubbles. At random times, the investor receives warnings that a bubble has formed in the market which may lead to a crash in the risky asset. We propose a regime switching model for the warnings and we make no assumptions about the distribution of the timing and the size of the crashes. Instead, we assume that the investor takes a worst-case perspective towards their impacts, i.e. the investor maximizes her expected utility under the worst-case crash scenario. We characterize the value function by a system of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and derive a coupled system of ordinary differential equations for the optimal strategies. Numerical examples are provided.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article (Published) |
---|---|
Refereed: | Yes |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | optimal investment; market crashes; worst-case scenario; regime switching; financial bubbles |
Subjects: | Business > Finance Mathematics > Probabilities |
DCU Faculties and Centres: | DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Science and Health > School of Mathematical Sciences |
Publisher: | World Scientific |
Official URL: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S0219024916500096 |
Copyright Information: | © 2016 World Scientific |
Use License: | This item is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License. View License |
Funders: | SFI |
ID Code: | 21135 |
Deposited On: | 07 Apr 2016 08:33 by Olaf Menkens . Last Modified 19 Jul 2018 15:08 |
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