Nguyen, An Pham Ngoc, Mai, Tai Tan ORCID: 0000-0001-6657-0872, Bezbradica, Marija ORCID: 0000-0001-9366-5113 and Crane, Martin ORCID: 0000-0001-9366-5113 (2023) Volatility and returns connectedness in cryptocurrency markets: insights from graph-based methods. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 632 . ISSN 0378-4371
Abstract
We employ graph-based methods to examine the connectedness between cryptocurrencies of different market caps over time. By applying denoising and detrending techniques inherited from Random Matrix Theory and the concept of the so-called Market Component, we are able to extract new insights from historical return and volatility time series. Notably, our analysis reveals that changes in volatility-based network structure can be used to identify major events that have, in turn, impacted the cryptocurrency market. Additionally, we find that these structures reflect investors’ sentiments, including emotions like fear and greed. Using metrics such as PageRank, we discover that certain minor coins unexpectedly exert a disproportionate influence on the market, while the largest cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH seem less influential. We suggest that our findings have practical implications for investors in different ways:
Firstly, helping them to avoid major market disruptions such as crashes, to safeguard their investments, and to capitalize on opportunities for high returns; Secondly, sharpening and optimizing the portfolios thanks to the understanding of cryptocurrencies’ connectedness.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article (Published) |
---|---|
Refereed: | Yes |
Additional Information: | Article number: 129349 |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Cryptocurrencies; Volatility; Correlation-based network; Graph-based metrics; Influential cryptocurrencies |
Subjects: | Computer Science > Artificial intelligence Computer Science > Machine learning Physical Sciences > Statistical physics |
DCU Faculties and Centres: | DCU Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Engineering and Computing > School of Computing Research Institutes and Centres > ADAPT |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Official URL: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.129349 |
Copyright Information: | © 2023 The Authors |
Funders: | Science Foundation Ireland Centre for Research Training in Artificial Intelligence (CRT-AI) grant number 18/CRT/6223 (APN Nguyen)., Science Foundation Ireland ADAPT Research Centre Grant Agreement 13/RC/2106_P2 (MC, MB) |
ID Code: | 29235 |
Deposited On: | 23 Nov 2023 13:07 by Martin Crane . Last Modified 23 Nov 2023 13:07 |
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