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Hypothesis testing: how we foresee falsification in competitive games

Cowley-Cunningham, Michelle orcid logoORCID: 0000-0002-1997-6009 (2017) Hypothesis testing: how we foresee falsification in competitive games. Lambert Academic Publishing, Saarbrucken, Germany. ISBN 978-3-330-08429-2

Abstract
Each day people are presented with circumstances that may require speculation. Scientists may ponder questions such as why a star is born or how rainbows are made, psychologists may ask social questions such as why people are prejudiced, and military strategists may imagine what the consequences of their actions might be. Speculations may lead to the generation of putative explanations called hypotheses. But it is by checking if hypotheses accurately reflect the encountered facts that lead to sensible behaviour demonstrating a true understanding. If evidence shows a hypothesis to be false, then people should rationally abandon it, especially if there are negative consequences. The aim of this thesis is to examine how effectively people search for evidence in their hypothesis testing to test whether or not their hypotheses are true or false in competitive games. Research findings from six studies of hypothesis testing behaviour in competitive deductive tasks are explored. Chapter by chapter the thesis tests how everyday people, and master chess players, tackle hypothesis testing in mathematical tasks, such as how to solve sequential number sequence puzzles when thinking about an opponent, or how to solve chess problems in a variety of contexts. The implications of the results are discussed in light of aspects of general cognition: such as reasoning, social hypothesis testing and planning.
Metadata
Item Type:Book
Refereed:Yes
Subjects:Biological Sciences > Neuroscience
Business > Economics
Humanities > Philosophy
Medical Sciences > Psychology
Mathematics > Statistics
DCU Faculties and Centres:DCU Faculties and Schools > DCU Business School
Publisher:Lambert Academic Publishing
Official URL:https://www.morebooks.de/shop-ui/shop/product/9783...
Copyright Information:© 2017 The Author.
Funders:Irish Research Council for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IRCHSS), Trinity Trust at Trinity College Dublin, Law Faculty Small Grant, University of Oxford
ID Code:29493
Deposited On:24 Jan 2024 17:26 by Michelle Cowley-Cunningham . Last Modified 30 Jan 2024 13:45
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